Hurricane Lorena’s Path Update - September 4, 2025

CABO SAN LUCAS, Mexico (September 4, 2025) - Hurricane Lorena continued its northwestward march just offshore of the Baja California Peninsula on Thursday, with forecasters closely monitoring its track for potential impacts along both Mexican and U.S. southwestern coasts.

Lorena remained a Category 1 hurricane Thursday morning, with maximum sustained winds near 85 mph as it paralleled the southwest coast of Baja California Sur. The storm’s center was located approximately 120 miles south of Cabo San Lucas, moving northwest at around 10 mph.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecast that Lorena’s eye will skirt the western coast of the peninsula today and tonight, before edging closer to the west-central coast by Friday morning. Although the hurricane is expected to gradually weaken under increasing wind shear and cooler waters, tropical-storm-force winds will continue to buffet coastal communities through Friday.

Heavy rainfall associated with Lorena began impacting southern Baja California Sur on Wednesday and is forecast to spread into southwestern Sonora on Thursday. Authorities have issued Tropical Storm Warnings for much of the Baja Pacific coast, where flash flood and mudslide risks remain elevated in mountainous terrain. Life-threatening surf and rip currents are also affecting beaches across southern Baja California Sur.

Moisture streaming northeast from Lorena is expected to produce significant downpours across Arizona, southern New Mexico, and western Texas from Thursday into Saturday. Isolated to scattered flash flooding is possible in low-lying and urban areas of the U.S. Southwest, where drought-stricken soils may exacerbate runoff concerns.

Residents in the storm’s projected path are urged to monitor local forecasts and heed instructions from emergency management agencies. Even as Lorena weakens, its outer bands will continue to pose hazards well beyond the immediate coastline.